In Excel: use =SLOPE(known_ys, known_xs) and =INTERCEPT(known_ys, known_xs) — together they give the two coefficients of the best-fit straight line, y = slope × x + intercept.
On this page8
Syntax
Arguments
| Argument | required / optional | Description |
|---|---|---|
known_ys | required | The dependent values — the thing being predicted. |
known_xs | required | The independent values, the same size as known_ys. |
Related functions
Select a cell for the slope and type =SLOPE(.
Select the y values (the outcome) FIRST, then a comma, then the x values.
Repeat in a second cell with =INTERCEPT and the same argument order.
Combine them as intercept + slope × x to predict any new value.
Need it as an auditable file?
Ships inside the linked template — formula-driven, unlocked, audit-ready.
What this does
SLOPE and INTERCEPT return the two numbers that define the least-squares regression line through a set of points. SLOPE is the rate of change — how much y moves per unit of x — and INTERCEPT is where the line crosses at x = 0. Written out they reproduce exactly the trendline equation a chart displays, which makes them the way to use a fitted line in calculations rather than merely look at one. Watch the argument order: the y values come first, which is the reverse of how most people say "x against y". The same idea underpins a lot of everyday Excel work, so the few minutes spent getting it right here pay back across every sheet you build afterwards. Treat it as a pattern, not a one-off, and it stops being something you look up and starts being something you reach for. Treat “excel slope calculation” as a small repeatable workflow rather than a one-off click you hope to remember next time. Use a small test block before the live file, so any surprise in the affected cells shows up while it is still harmless. When a formula is involved, keep the inputs labelled beside it, reference cells instead of typing values, and apply number formatting only after the result checks out. That turns a calculation you can defend to a CFO or an auditor into a method you can reuse, explain, and defend when the workbook leaves your screen.
A worked example
Units produced in B2:B40 and total cost in C2:C40: =SLOPE(C2:C40, B2:B40) returns the variable cost per unit and =INTERCEPT(C2:C40, B2:B40) the fixed cost. Predicting the cost of 250 units is then =INTERCEPT(...) + SLOPE(...)*250, which is what FORECAST.LINEAR does in a single call. SLOPE and INTERCEPT take a chart trendline out of the picture and put it into the model, where it can drive actual calculations. One habit worth forming early: name the cells that hold your inputs, so the formula reads in plain language instead of a string of cell addresses. A reviewer — or you in three months — can then follow the logic without decoding what B7 and D2 were supposed to mean, which is most of what makes a sheet maintainable.
In Google Sheets
If you are in Google Sheets rather than Excel, the good news is that the formula shown here is identical and the workflow barely changes — menus sit across the top instead of in a ribbon, and a few function names differ slightly, but anything you build here moves across with little or no rework. Nothing on this page is behind a login or a download: the exact answer is at the top, and the detail below it is there for when you need it. That is the whole promise here — the answer first, and just enough context to make it stick. The short version of “excel slope calculation”: the answer is at the top of this page, the tool proves it on your own numbers, and the sections above explain why it holds so the next variation does not stump you. Excel rewards people who reference cells instead of typing values and who keep inputs separate from formulas, because that is what makes a result you can audit months later. Build it once, deliberately, with the live tool as a check, and you convert a one-off lookup into a reusable skill — which is the whole point of learning the why and not just the what.
Common mistakes
- Reversing the arguments — y comes first in both functions, and swapping them silently returns a different line.
- Extrapolating far beyond the observed x range, where a straight line has no support from the data.
- Fitting a line to plainly curved data; check the scatter plot before trusting either coefficient.
Frequently asked questions
Which argument comes first?
The y values — the thing being predicted. =SLOPE(known_ys, known_xs).
How do I get the trendline equation from a chart into cells?
SLOPE and INTERCEPT return exactly those two coefficients, so you can use the fitted line in formulas instead of reading it off the chart.
How do I predict a value?
=INTERCEPT(ys,xs) + SLOPE(ys,xs)*newX, or the shorter =FORECAST.LINEAR(newX, ys, xs).